Weaning Pattern Characteristics, Based on Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3, of Critically Ill Patients Requiring Ventilator Care-Juniper Publishers
Juniper Publishers-Journal of Anesthesia
Abstract
Background: The Simplified Acute Physiology 
Score 3 (SAPS 3) scoring system was developed through a worldwide 
prospective study to predict hospital mortality in critically ill 
patients. The present study focuses on how outcomes, according to SAPS 3
 score, differ in patients receiving or not receiving mechanical 
ventilation.
Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 
electronic medical records of patients admitted to the surgical or 
medical ICU from October to December 2014. The SAPS 3 model scores were 
evaluated for all patients, and for subgroups of patients receiving 
mechanical ventilation (MV group) or not (Non-MV group). The MV group 
was further subdivided into two groups, based on the ventilator weaning 
(simple [MV-SW] and others [MV-Others]), to compare patient 
characteristics and mortality, based on SAPS 3 scores.
Results: The SAPS 3 score and mortality were 
significantly higher, and the length of ICU stay was significantly 
longer in the mechanical ventilation group (p = 0.004, p < 0.001, and
 p = 0.007, respectively) compared to the non-mechanical ventilation 
group. The MV-SW group included patients requiring significantly more 
postoperative care, while the MV-Others group had more patients 
intubated due to hypoxemia (p < 0.001). The AUC value, indicating 
discrimination, was 0.871.
Conclusion: The present study, conducted using
 the SAPS 3 score, showed good discrimination. It is believed that this 
method will be useful in predicting weaning difficulties and mortalities
 of patients requiring mechanical ventilation.
 Keywords:  Intensive care unit; Mechanical ventilation; Mortality; SAPS 3; Ventilator weaningIntroduction
Severity scoring systems are used to predict and 
compare outcomes, to help guide the allocation of limited resources and 
to evaluate the process of care in intensive care units (ICU). In 
critically ill patients, several scoring systems have been developed 
over the last three decades [1,2].
 The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) and the 
Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) are the most widely used 
scoring systems in ICUs. Recently, the SAPS 3 was developed through a 
worldwide prospective study to predict hospital mortality in critically 
ill patients. It is based on 20 different variables, that are easily 
measured at patient admission, and dissociating patient status from the 
quality of care in the ICU [3-7].
 There has, however, been no investigation into how outcomes differ in 
patients receiving or not receiving mechanical ventilation.
The aim of this study was to evaluate the 
epidemiology and prognostic performance of the SAPS 3 in a retrospective
 electric chart review, and to describe the weaning pattern 
characteristics of patients receiving mechanical ventilation.
Material and Methods
The study protocol was approved by the institutional review board.
Patient population
All patients admitted to the surgical or medical ICU 
from October to December 2014 were included in the present study. In 
addition, patients who were admitted to the ICU with serious medical or 
surgical postoperative complications were also included. Pediatric 
patients (<18 years of age), patients with an ICU stay < 24 h, and
 patients who were readmitted after an initial ICU discharge were 
excluded.
Data Collection
One individual retrospectively reviewed the 
electronic medical records. These records provided all of the data 
required to predict the mortality rate using the SAPS 3 model. The SAPS 3
 score was obtained from the most severe laboratory findings 1 h before 
or after ICU admission. Predicted hospital mortality rate (PMR) was 
calculated using the following equation; where score means SAPS 3 
admission score [6].
 
The performance of the model was evaluated in all 
patients, as well as, in two subgroups of patients who had received 
mechanical ventilation (MV group) or not (Non-MV group). Based on the 
ventilator weaning pattern, the MV group was further subdivided into two
 groups to compare the characteristics and prolonged, or chronic 
mechanical ventilation weaning.
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS 
Statistics 21 for Windows. Data were reported as means ± standard 
deviation (SD) or medians with 25th and 75th quartiles for continuous 
variables, and percentages for quantitative variables. Student's t-test,
 chi-squared test, or Fisher's exact test were used depending on whether
 the variables were continuous or categorical. P-values less than 0.05 
were used to indicate statistical significance. The area under the curve
 (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to 
measure discrimination for hospital mortality.
Results

MV: patients who received mechanical ventilation; 
Non-MV: patients who did not received mechanical ventilation; OR: 
operating room; PACU: postanesthetic unit; eR: emergency room; ICU: 
intensive care unit; IM: internal medicine; GS: general surgery; NS: 
neurosurgery; TS: Thoracic surgery; OS: orthopedic surgery; PS: plastic 
surgery; UR: urosurgery; NR: neurology; SAPS: Simplified Acute 
Physiology Score; IQR: Interquartile range.
Of the 154 patients admitted to the ICU between 
October and December 2014, 2 pediatric patients, 4 readmissions, and 7 
patients with missing data, mostly due to ICU length of stay < 24 h, 
were excluded. The study group, therefore, comprised 141 patients: 76 
males (53.9%) and mean age 67.7 yr. The characteristics of the study 
group are shown in (Table 1).
 There were no significant differences in demographic characteristics 
between patients in the MV group and the Non-MV group. The SAPS 3 score 
and ICU mortality were significantly higher in the MV group (p = 0.004 
and p < 0.001, respectively). In addition, length of ICU stay was 
significantly longer (p = 0.007) for the MV group. 

MV-SW: patients who received mechanical ventilation 
and simple weaning; MV-Others: patients who received mechanical 
ventilation and all other weaning groups; SAPS: Simplified Acute 
Physiology Score; IQR: inter-quartile range.
The MV group (n = 43; excluding 2 patients with 
missing weaning protocol data) was subdivided based on weaning pattern. 
When the reason for the intubation was compared between subgroups, the 
MV-SW group included patients requiring significantly more postoperative
 care, while the MV-Other group had significantly more intubations due 
to hypoxemia (p = 0.001). Observed mortality, SAPS 3 score, and 
predicted mortality were significantly higher in the MV-Other group (Table 2), and observed mortality (60.0%) was higher than the predicted mortality (39.4%).


Hospital mortality was considerably greater in 
patients with higher SAPS 3 scores. The highest hospital mortality rate 
was observed in patients with a SAPS 3 score greater than 90 (Figure 1). Discrimination, as measured by the AUC, was good (AUCs = 0.871), (Figure 2).
Discussion
In the present study, the mean SAPS 3 score of all 
patients was 46.1; the score was 10 points higher for the group 
requiring mechanical ventilation compared to the group without. Although
 there were no significant differences in gender, age, route of 
admission, and department between the groups, the group requiring 
mechanical ventilation exhibited longer ICU stays and higher mortality. 
Among members of the MV group, those capable of simple weaning showed 
lower severity scores and mortality.
Many previous studies have shown that SAPS 3 is a scoring system model with good discrimination but poor calibration [5,8-10].
 In the present study, the AUC value, which indicates discrimination, 
was 0.871; this is similar to previous studies (0.8-0.89) and indicates 
favorable discrimination [5,11].
 While there were no in-hospital mortalities in patients with SAPS 3 
scores of <40 points, patients with scores of 41-90 points had a 
mortality rate under 50%, and the mortality rate increased rapidly for 
patients with scores >90.
Unlike previous SAPS 3 studies that compared 
discrimination or calibration to outcomes from other scoring models or 
investigated regional variations [10,12-14],
 the present study focused on how outcomes differed in patients 
receiving or not receiving mechanical ventilation. This is because, 
among various factors affecting SAPS 3, the effect of applying 
mechanical ventilation on the score is minimal; however, a significant 
number of patients in the ICU receive ventilator care and applying 
mechanical ventilation has a clinically significant impact on the 
clinical course of critically ill patients.
The patient group requiring mechanical ventilation 
was divided into two subgroups based on the weaning pattern. The simple 
weaning (MV-SW) group included patients with successful 1st extubation 
after the 1st SBT. The other (MV-Other) group included all other weaning
 groups: Difficult weaning (failed 1st SBT trial, but succeeded within 
the 3rd SBT trials or successful weaning within 7 days after the 1st 
SBT); prolonged weaning (failed weaning on the 3rd SBT trial or required
 more than 7 days on the 1st SBT); and chronic mechanical ventilation 
weaning (the same as tracheostomy) [15,16].
The majority of patients from our hospital had 
chronic mechanical ventilation weaning when simple weaning failed; for 
this reason, we consolidated the three groups into one. Since most of 
the patients who had simple weaning were those who underwent extubation 
after maintaining mechanical ventilation for postoperative care due to 
old age, prolonged operation time, or underlying diseases (19 subjects, 
82.6%), they not only showed lower SAPS 3 scores, but also lower 
mortality rates compared to the MV-Other group. Conversely, most ofthe 
patients within the MV-Other group were intubated for mechanical 
ventilation because of hypoxemia caused by impairment of normal 
ventilation function (17 subjects, 85%), which may have manifested as an
 increase in the severity of weaning.
The mean length of hospital stay for the MV-Other 
group, whose conditions were more severe, was not significantly 
different from the MV-SW group; this may be attributed to a shortened 
overall length of hospital stay due to the larger number of "do not 
resuscitates" (DNRs) and patients who passed away in this group. 
Moreover, it can be surmised that the observed mortality rate (60.0%) in
 this group was higher than the predicted mortality (39.4%) because of 
the influence limited proactive management for patients who were 
expected to have unfavorable prognosis and had effectuated DNRs in 
advance.
The limitations of this study include having a small 
number of participants, which resulted in a low number of patients in 
the ventilated group and corresponding subgroups. In addition, at the 
time of data collection, the hospital did not have a standard weaning 
protocol; weaning was carried out either by applying a T-piece or a 
pressure support ventilation (PSV) mode after the SBT and the protocol 
used was determined by the doctor in charge of the department. 
Consequently, the reason for a patient not having been placed into a 
weaning subgroup may not have been due to the patient's condition.
Furthermore, while all charts were reviewed by a 
single person responsible for the ICU, the SAPS 3 scores were inputted 
by different doctors who were in charge of the department at the time of
 admission; for this reason, individual evaluator errors cannot be 
eliminated. We plan to perform future studies with a larger number of 
patients; furthermore, the hospital plans to implement a standard SBT 
protocol, therefore data obtained after the protocol is applied may be 
compared to the results presented to allow the mechanical ventilation 
subgroups to be more clearly defined to determine any differences.
Conclusion
In conclusion, in the present study, conducted on 
patients who were hospitalized in the surgical or internal medicine ICU,
 SAPS 3 score assisted-evaluations showed good discrimination. It is 
believed that this will be a useful method for predicting weaning 
difficulties and mortalities in patients requiring mechanical 
ventilation.
Acknowledgement
This work was supported by a research grant from Jeju National University Hospital in 2015.
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